Re: Masuda Method Question

The chance of each egg being shiny is near enough to random odds, and they can be considered independent. A 1/3360 chance means that, on average, you should get 3359 non-shiny ones for every shiny. But even if you've hatched a million non-shiny eggs, the next egg still only has a 1 in 3360 chance of being shiny. The chance of 3360 non-shiny eggs in a row is (1 - (1/3360)) raised to the power of 3360 (i.e. multiplied by itself 3360 times). This works out to be a pretty lofty 0.368, meaning that there's about a 37% chance of that happening. This means that if you may well be doing everything right.

For perspective: There's a 5.1% chance that you would still not have a shiny egg after you've hatched ten thousand eggs from a valid Masuda method pair in Generation V. (Prior to Gen V the chance at 10,000 was still 19.6%). Not using the Masuda method, the chance of not having a shiny egg is 29.5%

Re: Masuda Method Question

Ok, that makes sense. Thanks for the info!